Fed Decision in March?

This event tracks the outcome of the Federal Open Market Committee's interest rate decision following its March 2027 meeting. Markets measure the specific change in basis points to the upper bound of the target federal funds range compared to the pre-meeting level.

How the outcomes relate

Markets represent distinct brackets of rate adjustments (increases, decreases, or no change). Exactly one outcome will resolve Yes based on the specific basis point change, making the options mutually exclusive.

How it resolves

Each market resolves according to the change in the upper bound of the target federal funds rate decided at the FOMC's March 2027 meeting. The market matching the actual basis point change resolves Yes, while others resolve No. If the rate change is not explicitly listed among the options, it is rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points to match a bracket. If no statement is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, the event resolves to 'No change'.

Key dates

• FOMC March Meeting: Mar 16, 2027 — Scheduled FOMC meeting takes place March 16-17, 2027.

Resolution source

FOMC statement and the official website of the Federal Reserve

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash · 30 Oct 2026, 01:30 UTC