Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Oman at 4% · first close Jan 1, 2027 · $1.9M total volume
About this event
This event tracks whether specific countries will join the Abraham Accords by formally signing a normalization agreement with Israel before 2027. Each individual market corresponds to a specific nation being evaluated for accession to the accords.
How the outcomes relate
The event is structured with separate binary markets for each listed country. Multiple markets can resolve Yes if more than one country signs an agreement, or all can resolve No if none do.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if the specified country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. A formal signing requires an official agreement between Israel and the country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Resolution is based on official government statements or a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Resolution deadline: — December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Official government statements, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oman | 4% | ±0 | Med | High | |
| Saudi Arabia | 2% | ±0 | Med | High | |
| Somaliland | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Pakistan | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Qatar | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Turkey | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| Egypt | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Jordan | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Kuwait | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| Syria | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| Lebanon | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| Azerbaijan | — | — | Not rated | Med |