Ostium FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Gotcha risk
Medium2 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly specify the calculation method and establish an exact timestamp for evaluation at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch, alongside an ultimate expiration date.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly specify the calculation method and establish an exact timestamp for evaluation at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch, alongside an ultimate expiration date. However, there is some ambiguity regarding the resolution data, as the rules rely on 'the most liquid price source available' without naming a specific exchange, aggregator, or metric to determine liquidity. Additionally, while total token supply is factored into the valuation, the exact source for verifying the official total supply figure is not explicitly stated.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Medium
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
2%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ostium's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ostium doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Market explained
This market measures whether the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of Ostium's token is above $500M exactly one day after its public launch.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Ostium's token has a Fully Diluted Valuation greater than $500M at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following its launch. A launch requires the token to be actively, publicly transferable and tradable. FDV is calculated as the total token supply multiplied by the token price. The market resolves to No if the FDV is not above $500M at that designated time. The market also resolves to No if Ostium does not launch a token by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The deciding source is the most liquid price source available.
Resolution source
The most liquid price source available
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·