Ostium FDV above $75M one day after launch?
Gotcha risk
Medium1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly specify the calculation formula and the exact snapshot time (4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the launch).
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly specify the calculation formula and the exact snapshot time (4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the launch). However, the resolution source is vaguely specified as 'the most liquid price source available' rather than a named price aggregator, exchange, or on-chain oracle. This introduces decider discretion in determining which venue has the highest liquidity and what exact total token supply figure is used at snapshot time. The market also includes a long longstop date of December 31, 2026, resolving to No if no token is launched.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
2%
chance▼ −0.35 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ostium's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ostium doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Market explained
This market measures whether the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of Ostium's token exceeds $75 million at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following its launch.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Ostium's token Fully Diluted Valuation is greater than $75M one day after launch. A launch requires the token to be actively, publicly transferable and tradable. FDV is calculated as the total token supply multiplied by the token price. The market resolves to No if the FDV is not greater than $75M at the designated time, or if Ostium does not launch a token by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. One day after launch is defined specifically as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the launch. Resolution relies on the most liquid price source available.
Resolution source
The most liquid price source available
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·