CryptoCloses · in 48 days$53.8K volumePart of: StandX FDV above ___ one day after launch? →

StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Gotcha risk

Medium

1 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: The rules establish a clear evaluation time defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch, along with a definite expiry date of December 31, 2026.

Read the full assessment

The rules establish a clear evaluation time defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch, along with a definite expiry date of December 31, 2026. However, resolution depends on the most liquid price source available without naming a specific exchange, aggregator, or method for determining total token supply to calculate Fully Diluted Valuation. Market participants must monitor which platform is ultimately deemed the primary liquidity source at the specified cutoff.

Resolver
Medium
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

2%

chance

▲ +0.2 pts · 24h

Yes2¢
No98¢
$400M · Yes · 1MO 2.0 H 2.2 L 1.8 C 2.1+0.1 (+4.9%)

Why it moved

No big moves in the last 7 days.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Market explained

This market measures whether the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of StandX's token exceeds $400M exactly one day after its launch.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than $400M at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following its launch. A launch requires the token to be actively, publicly transferable and tradable. The market resolves to No if the valuation does not exceed $400M at that time, or if StandX does not launch a token by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution relies on data from the most liquid price source available.

Resolution source

The most liquid price source available

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·