StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Gotcha risk
Medium2 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: No specific data provider or price aggregator is designated to verify token price or total supply, relying instead on whichever venue is deemed the most liquid price source available at the measurement time.
Read the full assessment
No specific data provider or price aggregator is designated to verify token price or total supply, relying instead on whichever venue is deemed the most liquid price source available at the measurement time. This introduces discretion regarding which exchange or pool is selected and how the total supply figure used to calculate fully diluted valuation is sourced. Aside from source selection, the evaluation snapshot is specifically timed for 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch, and a longstop deadline cleanly resolves the market if no token launches before the end of 2026.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Medium
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
2%
chance▼ −0.15 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Market explained
This market measures whether the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of StandX's token exceeds $800M exactly one calendar day after its launch.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than $800M at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following its launch. A launch requires the token to be actively, publicly transferable and tradable. The market resolves to No if the valuation does not exceed $800M at that time, or if StandX does not launch a token by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is determined using the most liquid price source available.
Resolution source
The most liquid price source available
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·