StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Gotcha risk
Medium2 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The market defines a clear numerical threshold and a precise cutoff time at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch, as well as a definitive longstop date.
Read the full assessment
The market defines a clear numerical threshold and a precise cutoff time at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch, as well as a definitive longstop date. However, the resolution source is vaguely specified as 'the most liquid price source available' without naming a specific oracle, aggregator (like CoinGecko or CoinMarketCap), or exchange, leaving room for disagreement if different venues report disparate prices or token supply data. Additionally, determining what strictly satisfies the launch condition of being 'actively, publicly transferable and tradable' could involve subjective interpretation if trading begins on low-liquidity decentralized pools or unofficial pairs.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Medium
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
2%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Market explained
This market measures whether the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of StandX's token exceeds $1 billion exactly one day after its launch.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than $1 billion at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. A launch requires the token to be actively, publicly transferable and tradable. The market resolves to No if the valuation does not exceed $1 billion at that time, or if StandX does not launch a token by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is determined using the most liquid price source available.
Resolution source
The most liquid price source available
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·