Will Roy Cooper be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The resolution rules clearly define the outcome based on the first person formally nominated for Vice President by the Democratic Party in the 2028 cycle who accepts the nomination.
Read the full assessment
The resolution rules clearly define the outcome based on the first person formally nominated for Vice President by the Democratic Party in the 2028 cycle who accepts the nomination. Resolution relies on official Democratic Party sources, leaving little room for subjective interpretation. An explicit clause notes that any subsequent replacement of the nominee before election day will not alter the initial resolution outcome.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
2%
chance▲ +0.3 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Roy Cooper becomes the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee. Resolution depends strictly on the first person to formally accept the nomination, regardless of any subsequent replacements.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Roy Cooper is the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle and accepts the nomination. The market resolves No if another individual is the first to be formally nominated and accept the nomination. Any replacement of the nominee before election day does not change the resolution. Resolution is determined by a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including the official Democratic Party website.
Resolution source
A consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including the Democratic Party website
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·