Will Jon Stewart be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market resolves based on the first individual who is formally nominated for Vice President by the Democratic Party for the 2028 election and accepts the nomination.
Read the full assessment
This market resolves based on the first individual who is formally nominated for Vice President by the Democratic Party for the 2028 election and accepts the nomination. The criteria rely directly on official Democratic Party sources, including their primary website. The rules clearly state that any subsequent replacement of the nominee before election day will not alter the initial resolution, leaving minimal room for ambiguity or unexpected outcomes.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance▼ −0.15 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Jon Stewart becomes the Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee for the 2028 U.S. presidential election. Notably, resolution is locked to the first person who formally accepts the nomination, regardless of any subsequent nominee replacements before election day.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Jon Stewart is the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle and accepts the nomination. The market resolves No if someone else becomes the first formally nominated individual to accept the vice-presidential nomination. Any replacement of the nominee prior to election day will not alter the market resolution. Resolution is determined by a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including the official party website.
Resolution source
A consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including democrats.org
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·