Will Andrew Yang be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly specify the resolution criteria: the market resolves based on the first individual who is formally nominated for Vice President by the Democratic Party for the 2028 election and accepts the nomination.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly specify the resolution criteria: the market resolves based on the first individual who is formally nominated for Vice President by the Democratic Party for the 2028 election and accepts the nomination. Resolution relies on official Democratic Party sources, including their primary website. An explicit clause ensures that any subsequent nominee replacement prior to election day will not alter the initial resolution outcome, leaving little room for ambiguity or unexpected rulings.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Andrew Yang will become the Democratic Party's vice-presidential nominee for the 2028 U.S. presidential election. Notably, any subsequent replacement of the nominee before election day does not alter the resolution.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Andrew Yang is the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle and accepts the nomination. The market resolves No if another individual is the first to be formally nominated and accepts the nomination. Any subsequent replacement of the nominee prior to election day will not change the market resolution. Resolution is determined by a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including democrats.org.
Resolution source
A consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including democrats.org
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·