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PoliticsCloses · in 725 days$2.7K volumePart of: Republican VP Nominee 2028 →

Will Brian Kemp be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?

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Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: The rules clearly define resolution based on the first individual who is formally nominated for Vice President by the Republican Party in 2028 and accepts the nomination.

Read the full assessment

The rules clearly define resolution based on the first individual who is formally nominated for Vice President by the Republican Party in 2028 and accepts the nomination. Official party channels, specifically including the GOP website, serve as the authority. There is a straightforward clause noting that any subsequent replacement after the initial formal nomination will not alter the outcome, leaving very little room for misinterpretation or unexpected resolution.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

14%

chance

▲ +7.1 pts · 24h

Yes14¢
No86¢
Brian Kemp · Yes · 1MO 1.4 H 23.4 L 1.4 C 13.6+12.3 (+907.4%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▲ +20 pts24h · detected 10 Nov 2026, 20:40 UTC

The market price rose from 2% to 23% as part of a broader repricing across 2028 Republican VP nominee outcomes, with Thomas Massie moving up while Vivek Ramaswamy and Greg Abbott moved down.

  • Largest hourly change: 20:00 UTC, 100% of the net 24-hour change.
  • Closes 728 days after the move hour.
  • 3 related outcomes moved in the same window, 1 in the same direction. Largest: Thomas Massie (up), Vivek Ramaswamy (down), Greg Abbott (down).

News check pending.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 10 Nov 2026, 21:05 UTC

Earlier

▼ −12 pts · 7 Nov 2026, 12:55 UTCThe price fell from 15% to 3% as outcomes across the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee market repriced together, with Katie Britt moving up as Brian Kemp declined.The news search didn't complete, so no catalyst is claimed.AI-generated · 7 Nov 2026, 13:05 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Market explained

This market measures whether Brian Kemp will become the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee. Resolution hinges on the first person to formally accept the nomination, regardless of any subsequent replacements.

How it resolves

The market resolves Yes if Brian Kemp is the first individual to be formally nominated for Vice President by the Republican Party in the 2028 cycle and accepts the nomination. The market resolves No if another individual is the first to be formally nominated and accept, or if Brian Kemp does not secure and accept the nomination. Any replacement of the nominee prior to election day does not alter the outcome. The deciding source is a consensus of official GOP sources, including gop.com.

Resolution source

Consensus of official GOP sources, including gop.com

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·