CultureCloses · in 229 days$831.5 volumePart of: TIME Person of the Year 2026 →

Will Jeremy Hansen be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: This market relies on an official, definitive publication by TIME magazine for its 2026 Person of the Year announcement.

Read the full assessment

This market relies on an official, definitive publication by TIME magazine for its 2026 Person of the Year announcement. The rules explicitly specify that an individual qualifies if they are directly named or if a collective group/concept is selected and the individual is both directly associated with it and pictured on an official cover. A clear longstop deadline of June 30, 2027, prevents indefinite delays.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Last captured price

3%

chance

▼ −0.15 pts · 24h

Yes3¢
No97¢

Jeremy Hansen · Yes · 1MO 2.8 H 5.0 L 1.9 C 2.8−0.0 (−1.8%)

Why it moved

No big moves in the last 7 days.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person, group, entity, or thing is TIME Person of the Year for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they/it are explicitly named as Person of the Year. Additionally, the following rules apply: If multiple people are explicitly named person of the year, both people will be considered TIME Person of the Year. If the TIME Person of the Year is a concept, group or thing, a person may still be considered Person of the Year if they are also explicitly named person of the year, or if they are directly associated with the concept, group or thing named as person of the Year and are pictured on any official TIME cover announcing the Person of the Year. For example, in 2025 when TIME Person of the Year was “Architects of AI” the option for Sam Altman would have resolved to “Yes” as he was associated with the concept and is pictured on the Cover. However, if Sam Altman were Person of the Year, and ChatGPT was shown on the cover, this would not qualify for ChatGPT because ChatGPT is not a person. If the TIME Person of the Year is a specific concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. artificial intelligence), listed concepts or entities will be considered Person of the Year only if they are synonymous with the announced TIME Person of the Year. For example, if ChatGPT were Person of the Year, options for AI or LLMs would resolve to “No” because, while they are conceptually linked, they are not synonymous. If TIME uses language that does not refer to a specific, commonly-recognized, concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. 2011’s “The Protester” or 2017’s “The Silence Breakers”), the TIME Person of the Year feature article will be used to determine the meaning of the language defining TIME Person of the Year. In such cases, listed concepts, groups, or things will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they can be reasonably understood as equivalent to the meaning of the language used to define TIME Person of the Year. For example, the option for “The Me Too Movement” would have resolved to “Yes” in 2017. If for any reason the TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the TIME magazine cover or covers announcing the 2026 TIME Person of the Year; however, the TIME Person of the Year Feature article may also be used.

Market explained

This market measures whether Jeremy Hansen will be named TIME Person of the Year for 2026, including qualifying if he is pictured on the official cover and associated with a winning group or concept.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if Jeremy Hansen is explicitly named TIME Person of the Year for 2026. If TIME names multiple people, all named individuals qualify. If Person of the Year is awarded to a concept, group, or thing, Jeremy Hansen also qualifies for Yes if he is directly associated with it and pictured on any official TIME cover announcing the selection. The market resolves to No if he does not meet these criteria, or if TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source is the official TIME magazine cover or covers announcing the selection, with the TIME Person of the Year feature article also eligible for use.

Resolution source

TIME magazine cover or covers announcing the 2026 TIME Person of the Year, or the TIME Person of the Year feature article

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·