TIME Person of the Year 2026
24 live outcomes · highest priced: Zohran Mamdani at 23% · first close Dec 31, 2026 · $429.3K total volume
About this event
This event tracks who or what will be selected as TIME Person of the Year for 2026. Each individual market corresponds to a specific person, group, entity, or concept and measures whether they receive the official designation.
How the outcomes relate
The event consists of separate markets for individual candidates or entities. More than one market can resolve Yes if TIME explicitly names multiple individuals, or if multiple listed individuals are directly associated with an umbrella concept or group and appear on an official cover.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if the listed person, group, entity, or thing is explicitly named as TIME Person of the Year for 2026. If a concept or group is selected, an individual resolves to Yes if explicitly named or if directly associated with it and pictured on an official announcement cover. Listed concepts or entities resolve to Yes only if synonymous with the announced choice or equivalent based on the feature article. Markets resolve to No if the criteria are not met or if no announcement occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Key dates
- Resolution Deadline: — Markets resolve to No if TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by 11:59 PM ET.
Resolution source
The TIME magazine cover or covers announcing the 2026 TIME Person of the Year, or the TIME Person of the Year feature article
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zohran Mamdani | 23% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| James Talarico | 19% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Mark Carney | 12% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Pope Leo XIV | 8% | ▲ 1 | Low | Med | |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 7% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Donald Trump | 6% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Dario Amodei | 5% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Bad Bunny | 4% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Reid Wiseman | 4% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Marco Rubio | 4% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Victor Glover | 4% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Artificial Intelligence | 4% | ±0 | Med | Med | |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 4% | ▼ 1 | Med | Med | |
| Mojtaba Khamenei | 3% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| ChatGPT | 3% | ±0 | Med | Med | |
| Elon Musk | 3% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Christina Koch | 3% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Péter Magyar | 2% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Bernie Sanders | 2% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Jerome Powell | 2% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Shehbaz Sharif | 2% | ▼ 1 | Low | Med | |
| Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf | 1% | ▼ 1 | Low | Med | |
| Alysa Liu | 1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Taylor Swift | 1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Jeremy Hansen | 3% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Sam Altman | 2% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Ali G | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Ali Khamenei | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Lula da Silva | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Abdul El-Sayed | — | — | Not rated | — |