Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31?
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The resolution criteria are straightforward, requiring formal diplomatic recognition of Israel by the Qatari government before December 31, 2026, explicitly excluding preliminary announcements of intent.
Read the full assessment
The resolution criteria are straightforward, requiring formal diplomatic recognition of Israel by the Qatari government before December 31, 2026, explicitly excluding preliminary announcements of intent. While official government statements serve as the primary source, the rules also permit reliance on a consensus of credible reporting, introducing some evaluator discretion if diplomatic developments are reported without immediate formal documentation.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market explained
This market measures whether Qatar officially recognizes Israel as a state by December 31, 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Qatar officially and formally recognizes the State of Israel between market creation and December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A mere announcement of intentions does not count toward a Yes resolution. The market resolves to No if such official recognition does not occur within the specified timeframe. Resolution is determined primarily using official government information, with a consensus of credible reporting also used.
Resolution source
Official government information, supported by a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·