Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by December 31?
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The market has a clear binary resolution criterion requiring formal diplomatic recognition of Israel as a state by Bangladesh before the December 31, 2026 deadline.
Read the full assessment
The market has a clear binary resolution criterion requiring formal diplomatic recognition of Israel as a state by Bangladesh before the December 31, 2026 deadline. The rules explicitly exclude mere statements of intention, reducing the risk of premature resolution on preliminary diplomatic talks. While the rules permit a consensus of credible reporting alongside official government sources, the requirement for formal recognition provides a high and verifiable bar, leaving limited room for interpretation.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market explained
This market measures whether Bangladesh officially recognizes Israel as a state by December 31, 2026. Mere announcements of intent do not satisfy the criteria for recognition.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Bangladesh officially recognizes the State of Israel between market creation and December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A government's formal recognition is strictly required; an announcement of intentions does not count. The market resolves to No if formal recognition does not occur by the specified deadline. Official government information serves as the primary resolution source, alongside a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution source
Official government information or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·