Will Abelina López Rodríguez win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market resolves on the official outcome of the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial election for the named candidate, excluding interim or caretaker governors.
Read the full assessment
This market resolves on the official outcome of the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial election for the named candidate, excluding interim or caretaker governors. While the primary resolution mechanism references a consensus of credible reporting, the rules provide clear fallback criteria to official government sources, specifically the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico. A definitive long-stop date of December 31, 2027, resolves the market to Other if results remain unresolved, leaving ample time past the June 6, 2027 election date for certification.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market explained
This market measures whether Abelina López Rodríguez will win the 2027 gubernatorial election in Guerrero, Mexico.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Abelina López Rodríguez wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial election. Any interim or caretaker Governor does not qualify. The market resolves to another listed candidate if that candidate wins instead. The market resolves to Other if the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting, or by official results from government sources including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico if ambiguity arises.
Resolution source
A consensus of credible reporting, or official results from government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·