SportsCloses · in 157 days$5.4K volumePart of: 2027 Men's College Basketball National Champion →

Will Arizona win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship?

Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: This market follows a straightforward sports championship outcome relying primarily on official NCAA data.

Read the full assessment

This market follows a straightforward sports championship outcome relying primarily on official NCAA data. Clear fallback terms are defined, including early resolution to No if Arizona is eliminated or fails to qualify, and resolution to Other if the tournament is cancelled or postponed beyond April 19, 2027. While secondary reliance on a consensus of reporting is mentioned, the official tournament result leaves minimal room for ambiguity or dispute.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

3%

chance

▼ −2.95 pts · 24h

Yes3¢
No97¢
Arizona · Yes · 1MO 5.0 H 11.3 L 3.0 C 3.5−1.6 (−31.7%)

Why it moved

No big moves in the last 7 days.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament (the national champion). If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 tournament (e.g., they are eliminated or fail to qualify), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market explained

This market measures whether the Arizona Wildcats win the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball National Championship. Resolution includes a specific fallback to "Other" if the tournament is cancelled, lacks a declared winner, or is postponed past the cutoff date.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if Arizona wins the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for Arizona to win the 2027 tournament, such as if the team is eliminated or fails to qualify. The market resolves to Other if the tournament is cancelled, postponed past April 19, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no champion is declared within that timeframe. Resolution is determined primarily by official information from the NCAA, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution source

Official information from the NCAA, or a consensus of credible reporting

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·