Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Slovakia?
Gotcha risk
Medium2 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market resolves based on the next in-person interaction between the two leaders before the end of 2027.
Read the full assessment
This market resolves based on the next in-person interaction between the two leaders before the end of 2027. Resolution relies on a consensus of credible reporting rather than a single official source, meaning market administrators must evaluate news reports to confirm whether a brief interaction, such as a handshake or direct conversation, meets the criteria. The rules include specific edge-case definitions, such as treating de facto Russian-controlled Ukrainian territory as Russia and separating Vatican City from Italy, as well as distinct catch-all outcomes for meetings in other regions. Participants should note that the question specifically asks about Slovakia, but under the multi-choice framework provided in the rules, if they meet elsewhere or do not meet at all, the market resolves to the corresponding location option rather than a simple negative outcome.
- Resolver
- High
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Medium
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Last captured price
<1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31, 2027" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Zelenskyy are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia. A meeting held in Vatican City will resolve to "Vatican City," not "Italy." If the next qualifying meeting takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to "Other - Europe." If the next qualifying meeting takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to "Other - Middle East/North Africa." If the next qualifying meeting takes place in any unlisted country that is not classified in either specified region, this market will resolve to "Other." For purposes of this market, countries' regions will be determined based on the U.S. State Department's regional classifications in the "Countries and Areas List" (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of "Europe and Eurasia" will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of "Near East (Middle East and North Africa)" will be considered to be in the Middle East/North Africa. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market explained
This market measures whether the next in-person meeting between Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy takes place in Slovakia before the end of 2027.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy hold their next in-person meeting in Slovakia by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying meeting requires both individuals to be present and directly interact through words, a handshake, conversation, or clear personal interaction. Merely being in the same room, standing in proximity, or making eye contact does not qualify. The market resolves to No if their next meeting occurs in a different location or if no qualifying meeting occurs by December 31, 2027. Resolution will be determined by a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution source
A consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·