Where will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next?
5 live outcomes · highest priced: No meeting by December 31, 2027 at 70% (+2 pts in 24h) · first close Jan 1, 2028 · $237.1K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the location of the next in-person meeting between Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy before the end of 2027. Individual markets correspond to specific candidate countries or the outcome that no qualifying meeting takes place within the timeframe.
How the outcomes relate
The event is structured as a mutually exclusive set of location outcomes and a fallback outcome for no meeting. Because the rules specify resolution based on the location of the single next meeting (or resolving to 'No meeting by December 31, 2027' if none occurs), at most one market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
A market resolves Yes if Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy have their next qualifying meeting in the specified country between market creation and December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying meeting requires both individuals to be present and engage in direct personal interaction, such as an exchange of words, a handshake, or direct conversation; mere proximity or sharing a room without direct interaction does not qualify. Meetings in Russian-controlled Ukrainian territory count as Russia, and Vatican City is treated separately from Italy. If no qualifying meeting occurs by the deadline, the 'No meeting' outcome resolves Yes.
Key dates
- Meeting deadline: — 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
A consensus of credible reporting, with regional classifications determined by the U.S. State Department's Countries and Areas List.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No meeting by December 31, 2027 | 70% | ▲ 2 | Med | Med | |
| United States | 7% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Turkey | 3% | ±0 | Med | Med | |
| UAE | 3% | ±0 | Med | Med | |
| Germany | <1% | ±0 | Med | Med | |
| Belarus | 3% | ▲ 2 | Med | Med | |
| Russia | 3% | ▲ 1 | Med | Med | |
| Kazakhstan | 2% | ▲ 1 | Med | Med | |
| Switzerland | 2% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| China | 2% | ±0 | Med | Med | |
| Saudi Arabia | 1% | ▲ 1 | Low | Med | |
| Serbia | 1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| South Africa | 1% | ±0 | Med | Med | |
| Hungary | 1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Ukraine | 1% | ±0 | Med | Med | |
| Other | 1% | ±0 | Med | Med | |
| Qatar | 1% | ±0 | Med | Med | |
| Austria | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Finland | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Other - Europe | <1% | ±0 | Med | Med | |
| Vatican City | <1% | ±0 | Med | Med | |
| Italy | <1% | ±0 | Med | Med | |
| Slovakia | <1% | ±0 | Med | Med | |
| Egypt | <1% | ±0 | Med | Med | |
| Brazil | <1% | ±0 | Med | Med | |
| Other - Middle East/North Africa | <1% | ±0 | Med | Med | |
| Azerbaijan | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| India | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Poland | <1% | ±0 | Med | Med |