Will Klemen Boštjančič win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly specify the election event, dates for both the first round and potential runoff, and explicitly state that resolution is based on the candidate who becomes mayor as a result of the election.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly specify the election event, dates for both the first round and potential runoff, and explicitly state that resolution is based on the candidate who becomes mayor as a result of the election. Interim or placeholder appointments are excluded. The primary resolution method relies on a consensus of credible reporting, with a designated official backup source from the relevant election commission if any ambiguity arises. A generous backstop date of May 31, 2027, is provided in case results are delayed.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance▼ −0.1 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
The next Ljubljana mayoral election is scheduled to be held on November 15, 2026, to elect the mayor of the City Municipality of Ljubljana, Slovenia (župan Mestne občine Ljubljana). If no candidate wins a majority of valid votes in the first round, a runoff between the two leading candidates is scheduled for November 29, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ljubljana as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Municipal Election Commission of the City Municipality of Ljubljana (Občinska volilna komisija Mestne občine Ljubljana) and published by the State Election Commission (Državna volilna komisija, DVK) (https://www.dvk-rs.si/).
Market explained
This market measures whether Klemen Boštjančič will win the 2026 mayoral election for the City Municipality of Ljubljana, Slovenia.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Klemen Boštjančič becomes the next mayor of Ljubljana as a result of the 2026 mayoral election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors do not count. The market resolves No if another candidate becomes mayor. The market resolves to Other if the election result is not known by May 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is decided by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, resolution is determined solely by official results declared by the Municipal Election Commission of the City Municipality of Ljubljana and published by the State Election Commission.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, or officially declared results from the Municipal Election Commission of the City Municipality of Ljubljana published by the State Election Commission
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·