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PoliticsCloses · in 725 days$44.4M volumePart of: Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 →

Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

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Gotcha risk

Low

1 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: The market hinges on whether Hillary Clinton officially wins and accepts the Democratic nomination for president in 2028.

Read the full assessment

The market hinges on whether Hillary Clinton officially wins and accepts the Democratic nomination for president in 2028. Resolution relies on a consensus of official party sources rather than a single specified document, but official party determinations at the Democratic National Convention are unambiguous. The rules explicitly clarify that post-nomination replacements do not alter the market resolution, reducing potential post-event confusion.

Resolver
Medium
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

<1%

chance

↔ ±0 pts · 24h

Yes<1¢
No>99¢
Hillary Clinton · Yes · 1MO 0.1 H 0.3 L 0.1 C 0.3+0.1 (+66.7%)

Why it moved

No big moves in the last 7 days.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Market explained

This market measures whether Hillary Clinton wins and accepts the Democratic Party's nomination for U.S. president in 2028. It specifies that any subsequent replacement of the nominee before election day does not alter the resolution.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if Hillary Clinton wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The market resolves to No if she does not win and accept the nomination. Any replacement of the Democratic nominee prior to election day will not change the resolution. The deciding source is a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Resolution source

Consensus of official Democratic Party sources

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·