Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The outcome is clearly defined by whether the candidate wins and formally accepts the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination.
Read the full assessment
The outcome is clearly defined by whether the candidate wins and formally accepts the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. Resolution relies on official Democratic Party sources rather than a single specified website or document, but presidential party nominations are unambiguous public events. The rules also clarify that any subsequent replacement of the nominee after the formal acceptance will not reverse a positive resolution.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Jasmine Crockett wins and accepts the Democratic Party's nomination for U.S. president in 2028. It specifies that any later replacement of the nominee before election day will not alter the market resolution.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Jasmine Crockett wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for U.S. president. A subsequent replacement of the Democratic nominee prior to election day does not change this resolution. The market resolves to No if she does not win and accept the nomination. Resolution is determined by a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Resolution source
A consensus of official Democratic Party sources
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·