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PoliticsCloses · in 725 days$15.3M volumePart of: Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 →

Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

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Gotcha risk

Low

1 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: The resolution criteria track the standard political process for winning and accepting the major-party nomination.

Read the full assessment

The resolution criteria track the standard political process for winning and accepting the major-party nomination. Resolution relies on a consensus of official party sources rather than a single specifically named party document or website, but the underlying outcome of a national party convention is definitive and publicly verifiable. The rules also clarify that later replacement of the nominee does not undo a positive resolution.

Resolver
Medium
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

<1%

chance

▲ +0.1 pts · 24h

Yes<1¢
No>99¢
Tulsi Gabbard · Yes · 1MO 0.5 H 0.5 L 0.1 C 0.3−0.2 (−44.4%)

Why it moved

No big moves in the last 7 days.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Market explained

This market measures whether Tulsi Gabbard will win and accept the 2028 Republican nomination for U.S. president. A notable rule is that any subsequent replacement of the nominee before election day does not change the market's resolution.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if Tulsi Gabbard wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. If she is replaced as the Republican nominee before election day, the resolution will not change. The market resolves to No if she does not win and accept the nomination. Resolution is decided by a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Resolution source

a consensus of official Republican Party sources

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·