Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
43 live outcomes · highest priced: J.D. Vance at 31% · first close Nov 7, 2028 · $736.1M total volume
About this event
This event tracks who will become the Republican Party's presidential nominee for the 2028 U.S. presidential election. Each market measures whether a specific named candidate wins and accepts the nomination.
How the outcomes relate
The event consists of separate binary markets for individual potential candidates. The supplied rules do not explicitly state whether at most one market can resolve Yes, though each market evaluates whether its specific candidate wins and accepts the party nomination.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The outcome is determined by a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the market resolution.
Key dates
- Nomination year: — Year of the 2028 Republican presidential nomination.
Resolution source
A consensus of official Republican Party sources
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.D. Vance | 31% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Marco Rubio | 18% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Ron DeSantis | 15% | ▲ 1 | Low | High | |
| Tucker Carlson | 4% | ▲ 1 | Low | High | |
| John McEntee | 4% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Ted Cruz | 3% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Thomas Massie | 3% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Glenn Youngkin | 2% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Brian Kemp | 2% | ▼ 1 | Low | High | |
| Donald Trump Jr. | 1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Byron Donalds | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Josh Hawley | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Rand Paul | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Marjorie Taylor Greene | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Donald Trump | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Nikki Haley | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Ivanka Trump | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Joe Kent | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Tom Cotton | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| John N. Kennedy | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Sarah Huckabee Sanders | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Elise Stefanik | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Tim Scott | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Tulsi Gabbard | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Elon Musk | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Katie Britt | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Pete Hegseth | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Rick Scott | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Vivek Ramaswamy | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Greg Abbott | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Kristi Noem | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Mike Pence | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Steve Bannon | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Kim Kardashian | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Eric Trump | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Candace Owens | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Doug Burgum | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Matt Gaetz | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| John Thune | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Tom Brady | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Erika Kirk | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Mike Johnson | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low |