SportsCloses · in 413 days$3K volumePart of: Ballon d'Or Winner 2027 →

Will Desire Doue win the 2027 Ballon d'Or?

Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: The rules clearly specify that resolution depends on the official winner of the 2027 Ballon d'Or as announced by France Football and UEFA.

Read the full assessment

The rules clearly specify that resolution depends on the official winner of the 2027 Ballon d'Or as announced by France Football and UEFA. A fallback to credible reporting exists, but official award organizers serve as the primary authority. Clear longstop conditions resolve the market to 'Other' if the ceremony is cancelled or delayed beyond March 31, 2028, or if co-winners are named.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

8%

chance

↔ ±0 pts · 24h

Yes8¢
No92¢
Desire Doue · Yes · 1MO 5.0 H 9.0 L 5.0 C 8.0+3.0 (+60.0%)

Why it moved

No big moves in the last 7 days.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Ballon d'Or award for the 2027 Ballon d'Or. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by France Football and UEFA rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve to "Other". If the 2027 Ballon d'Or is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market explained

This market measures whether Désiré Doué will win the 2027 Ballon d'Or award. It includes specific provisions resolving to Other if multiple winners are declared or if the ceremony is cancelled or postponed beyond the specified deadline.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if Désiré Doué wins the 2027 Ballon d'Or award. In the case of a tie, it resolves according to the official winner determined by France Football and UEFA rules. The market resolves to Other if multiple winners are announced, or if the 2027 Ballon d'Or is cancelled, postponed past March 31, 2028, at 11:59 PM ET, or no winner is declared by that time. Official information from France Football and UEFA decides the outcome, with a consensus of credible reporting also permitted.

Resolution source

Official information from France Football and UEFA, or a consensus of credible reporting

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·