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CryptoCloses · in 17 days$237.2K volumePart of: What price will Bitcoin hit in November? →

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November?

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Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: The rules are clearly defined with an objective resolution metric and source.

Read the full assessment

The rules are clearly defined with an objective resolution metric and source. Resolution is strictly tied to the High price of any 1-minute candle on the Binance BTC/USDT pair between 00:00 AM ET on November 1 and 11:59 PM ET on November 30. The market resolves to Yes immediately upon reaching or exceeding $85,000, or to No if that threshold is never touched within the specified timeframe. Other exchanges and trading pairs are explicitly excluded, leaving no room for decider discretion.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

3%

chance

▼ −6.55 pts · 24h

Yes3¢
No97¢
↑ 85,000 · Yes · 1MO 34.5 H 58.5 L 2.3 C 3.0−31.6 (−91.4%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▼ −11 pts24h · detected 10 Nov 2026, 15:55 UTC

The probability fell from 21% to 11% as Bitcoin dropped 0.61% in the hour and 1.5% over the window on Binance, making reaching $85,000 less likely.

  • Largest hourly change: 16:00 UTC, 27% of the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): −0.6% in the move hour, −1.5% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 21 days after the move hour.
  • 3 related outcomes moved in the same window, 2 in the same direction. Largest: ↓ 72,500 (up), ↑ 82,500 (down), ↑ 87,500 (down).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 10 Nov 2026, 16:07 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Market explained

This market measures whether Bitcoin reaches a high price of at least $85,000 on Binance during November. Resolution relies solely on the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle chart.

How it resolves

The market resolves immediately to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for the BTC/USDT pair shows a final High price equal to or greater than $85,000 between 00:00 AM ET on November 1 and 11:59 PM ET on November 30. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. Resolution is determined solely using 1-minute candle data from the Binance BTC/USDT pair, and prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets are disregarded.

Resolution source

Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle High prices

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·