EconomyCloses · in 17 days$88.6K volumePart of: What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in November 2026? →

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in November?

Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: The rules provide precise, objective parameters for resolution.

Read the full assessment

The rules provide precise, objective parameters for resolution. The outcome is tied directly to 1-minute candle high/low data from a named Pyth price feed for ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (CLL), with exact definitions for what constitutes the active month, applicable trading session hours, and contract rollover mechanics. A secondary fallback source (official ICE settlement reports) is clearly defined in case of a primary data outage. There is minimal discretion involved, as the benchmark requires hitting or exceeding $100 on the specified feed without rounding.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

26%

chance

▲ +10 pts · 24h

Yes26¢
No75¢
↑ $100 · Yes · 1MO 78.0 H 78.0 L 14.5 C 25.5−52.5 (−67.3%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▲ +11 pts24h · detected 12 Nov 2026, 23:55 UTC

The price rose from 16% to 27% as 5 related WTI crude oil price target markets moved concurrently, indicating a broader repricing across event outcomes.

  • Largest hourly change: 18:00 UTC, 43% of the net 24-hour change.
  • Closes 18 days after the move hour.
  • 5 related outcomes moved in the same window, 1 in the same direction. Largest: ↑ $90 (up), ↓ $80 (down), ↑ $95 (down).

News check pending.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 13 Nov 2026, 00:05 UTC

Earlier

▼ −11 pts · 10 Nov 2026, 19:25 UTCThe price fell from 31% to 20%, but there is insufficient evidence to identify a likely driver for the move.News check pending.AI-generated · 10 Nov 2026, 19:35 UTC

Earlier

▼ −20 pts · 9 Nov 2026, 06:55 UTCThe price dropped from 49% to 26% as part of a broader repricing across 4 related WTI Crude Oil target markets that moved down together, including the $95, $105, and $110 levels.News check pending.AI-generated · 9 Nov 2026, 14:35 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of November 2026, any Pyth 1-minute candle for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (denoted by Pyth as "CLL") has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered (See: "Trading Hours" at https://www.ice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 8:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date, except for the session dated Monday, which begins at 6:00 PM ET on the preceding Sunday, and where modified by holiday or other special hours (See: https://www.ice.com/holiday-hours). The Active Month is the nearest listed contract, except during that contract's final three trading sessions. At the open of the third-to-last trading session, the next listed contract becomes the Active Month. Each contract's last trading day will be determined by ICE Futures Europe per the WTI Crude Futures contract specification (generally the 4th US business day prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract month, or five US business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a US business day). The last trading day for each contract is posted at https://www.ice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures/expiry. For example, if the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Monday the 20th, the next listed contract would become the Active Month at the start of the trading session for Thursday the 16th (8:00 PM ET on Wednesday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil Futures contract by ICE Futures Europe may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session (See: https://www.ice.com/report/10 with "T-West Texas Intermediate Light Sweet Crude Future" selected). In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures Active Month "High" and "Low" prices available at https://app.pyth.com/explore?search=CLL, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

Market explained

This market measures whether the ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures Active Month contract reaches a high price of $100 or higher during November 2026 trading sessions according to Pyth 1-minute candle data.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if any Pyth 1-minute candle for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (CLL) records a final High price equal to or above $100 during an applicable trading session of November 2026. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle meets or exceeds $100, or if the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the timeframe. The Active Month is the nearest listed contract, shifting to the next listed contract at the open of the third-to-last trading session before expiry. Prices are evaluated strictly as published without rounding. Pyth 1-minute candle data serves as the primary resolution source, with official daily high/low prices from ICE Futures Europe serving as the fallback source if Pyth data is unavailable.

Resolution source

Pyth (ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures CLL feed)

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·