Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?
Gotcha risk
Medium2 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market evaluates whether Amazon holds the highest global market capitalization at market close on November 30, 2026.
Read the full assessment
This market evaluates whether Amazon holds the highest global market capitalization at market close on November 30, 2026. The rules do not designate a specific financial data provider or definitive market-cap tracker, instead relying on a consensus of credible reporting to determine the outcome. While the date and closing condition are clearly defined, comparing global valuations often requires standardized currency exchange rates and share counts that can differ across financial outlets, leaving the decider with discretion if multiple companies are close in valuation.
- Resolver
- High
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Medium
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market explained
This market measures whether Amazon will rank as the world's largest company by market capitalization at market close on November 30, 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Amazon is the largest company in the world by market cap as of market close on November 30, 2026. The market resolves No if another company holds the largest market cap at that time. A consensus of credible reporting will be used to determine the outcome.
Resolution source
A consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·