Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?
Gotcha risk
Medium2 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly specify the cutoff date of December 31, 2026, and define a qualifying meeting as an in-person encounter where both leaders are present and interact.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly specify the cutoff date of December 31, 2026, and define a qualifying meeting as an in-person encounter where both leaders are present and interact. However, determining whether a brief encounter or casual exchange at a multilateral summit counts as an interaction relies on interpretation. Additionally, resolution depends entirely on an unspecified consensus of credible reporting rather than a designated official registry or government confirmation, leaving outcome determination to decider judgment.
- Resolver
- High
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Medium
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to "No meeting before 2027". A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person. For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market explained
This market measures whether the next in-person meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin before 2027 takes place in Saudi Arabia. A notable rule is that meetings on Ukrainian territory under de facto Russian control, such as Crimea, are classified as taking place in Russia.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin have their next in-person meeting in Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying meeting requires both individuals to be present and interact in person. The market resolves to No if their next in-person meeting takes place in a different location before the deadline, or if no qualifying meeting occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (resolving to 'No meeting before 2027'). Resolution will be determined by a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·