StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Gotcha risk
Medium2 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly specify the evaluation time as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch, alongside an explicit long-stop deadline resolving to No if no token launches by December 31, 2026.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly specify the evaluation time as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch, alongside an explicit long-stop deadline resolving to No if no token launches by December 31, 2026. However, there is some discretion involved in determining what counts as the most liquid price source, as no specific exchange or price aggregator is designated in advance. Additionally, calculating Fully Diluted Valuation requires knowing the total token supply at that moment, which can vary across aggregators depending on how unminted or locked allocations are tracked.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Medium
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Market explained
This market measures whether the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of StandX's token exceeds $2B at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following its launch.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than $2B at 1 day after launch. A token launch requires the token to be actively, publicly transferable and tradable. The market resolves to No if the FDV is not greater than $2B at that time, or if StandX does not launch a token by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. One day after launch is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. Resolution is determined by the most liquid price source available.
Resolution source
The most liquid price source available
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·