StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Gotcha risk
Medium2 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules establish a specific target time for evaluation at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch, alongside an expiration fallback date.
Read the full assessment
The rules establish a specific target time for evaluation at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch, alongside an expiration fallback date. However, the price resolution source is vaguely specified as the most liquid price source available without naming a specific exchange, aggregator, or metric for determining liquidity. Additionally, calculating Fully Diluted Valuation requires knowing the total token supply, which is not formally attributed to a specific official disclosure or smart contract source, introducing discretion in how price and supply are verified.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Medium
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Last captured price
1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Market explained
This market measures whether StandX's token reaches a Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) above $3B precisely one day after its launch.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than $3B at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. A launch requires the token to be actively, publicly transferable and tradable. The market resolves to No if the FDV is not greater than $3B at that time, or if StandX does not launch a token by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution relies on the most liquid price source available.
Resolution source
The most liquid price source available
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·