StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch?
Gotcha risk
Medium2 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly specify the evaluation timestamp as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch and provide an ultimate expiry date of December 31, 2026.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly specify the evaluation timestamp as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch and provide an ultimate expiry date of December 31, 2026. However, resolution depends on the most liquid price source available rather than a designated price aggregator or exchange, leaving room for disagreement over which market was most liquid at the target time. Additionally, the rules do not specify an official authority or method for verifying total token supply to calculate the fully diluted valuation.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Medium
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Last captured price
<1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Market explained
This market measures whether StandX's token reaches a Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) greater than $7 billion one day after its launch.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than $7B at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. A launch requires the token to be actively, publicly transferable and tradable. The market resolves to No if the FDV is not greater than $7B at that specific time. The market also resolves to No if StandX does not launch a token by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source is the most liquid price source available.
Resolution source
The most liquid price source available
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·