Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 16?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly specify an exact, objective resolution mechanism.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly specify an exact, objective resolution mechanism. Resolution relies entirely on a single designated source—the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle closing at 12:00 PM ET on November 16. There is no ambiguity regarding time zones, specific trading pairs, or interpretation of the price threshold, leaving virtually no room for subjective discretion or unexpected edge cases.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin is above $82,000 on November 16, 2026. Resolution is determined specifically by the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle closing at noon ET rather than an index or other exchanges.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on November 16 has a final Close price strictly higher than $82,000. It resolves to No if the Close price is less than or equal to $82,000 or if the condition is not met. Resolution relies exclusively on Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data, with price precision matching the decimal places provided by the source.
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·