Will XRP reach $4.20 by December 31, 2026?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The resolution rules provide precise criteria and leave minimal room for ambiguity.
Read the full assessment
The resolution rules provide precise criteria and leave minimal room for ambiguity. The market explicitly designates Binance's XRP/USDT one-minute candlestick chart as the sole official resolution source, looking at the final High price of any candle. Exact start and end timestamps in the Eastern Time zone are clearly specified, and the market resolves immediately to Yes if the $4.20 threshold is hit, or to No after the final deadline. Other trading pairs and external exchanges are clearly excluded.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
2%
chance▼ −0.2 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for XRP (XRP/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:30 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance XRP/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of XRP reaches $4.20 on Binance by December 31, 2026. Resolution relies solely on the XRP/USDT trading pair on Binance, disregarding all other exchanges and pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for XRP/USDT has a final High price of $4.20 or greater between November 24, 2025, 14:30 ET and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET. The market resolves to No if no such candle reaches that price by the end of the specified period. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or other spot markets are excluded and will not be considered. Resolution is determined solely using 1-minute candle price data from Binance.
Resolution source
Binance
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·