Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
6 live outcomes · highest priced: 600B+ at 98% · first close Jan 1, 2028 · $627.1K total volume
About this event
This event tracks Anthropic's market capitalization at the close of its initial public offering (IPO) day, provided the IPO occurs by December 31, 2027. Markets evaluate different valuation brackets for the company's first day of public trading.
How the outcomes relate
The event is structured into distinct valuation brackets representing ranges of closing market cap on IPO day. Because an exact closing market cap falls into a single bracket (with boundary ties resolving to the higher range), at most one market can resolve Yes. If no IPO takes place before the deadline, all valuation brackets resolve No.
How it resolves
Each market resolves based on Anthropic's market capitalization calculated as outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on its first trading day. A specific bracket resolves Yes if the final market cap falls within its defined range. If the value lands precisely on a boundary between two brackets, it resolves to the higher range bracket. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, the markets resolve to 'No IPO by December 31, 2027'. In the case of trading interruptions, the official closing price of the abbreviated session or the next published trading day is used.
Key dates
- IPO Deadline: — 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Primary exchange's official listing page, or another reliable source if unavailable
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 600B+ | 98% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| 400–600B | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| No IPO by December 31, 2027 | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| 100–200B | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| 300–400B | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| <100B | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| 200–300B | — | — | Low | Med |