Netanyahu out by...?
3 live outcomes · highest priced: June 30, 2027 at 68% (+1 pts in 24h) · first close Jan 1, 2027 · $3.5M total volume
About this event
This event tracks whether Benjamin Netanyahu will cease to be Prime Minister of Israel by specific calendar deadlines. Each market corresponds to a distinct target date measuring his potential removal or resignation from office.
How the outcomes relate
The event is structured as a series of chronological deadline markets. Because each market asks if he leaves office by a given date, an earlier departure that triggers a Yes resolution in an earlier market will also cause subsequent later-dated markets to resolve Yes. Therefore, multiple markets can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period between market creation and the specified deadline (ET). An announcement of his resignation or removal before the end date also immediately triggers a Yes resolution, regardless of when it takes effect. If neither occurs by the specified date, the market resolves to No. Resolution is determined via official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the Israeli government, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- End of 2026 deadline:
- March 31, 2027 deadline:
Resolution source
Official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel, or a consensus of credible reporting.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2027 | 68% | ▲ 1 | Med | Med | |
| March 31, 2027 | 62% | ▲ 3 | Med | Low | |
| December 31 | 47% | ▼ 2 | Med | Med |