PolymarketEvent3 live of 6 outcomes

When will Ethereum hit $4k?

3 live outcomes · highest priced: by September 30, 2027 at 20% (−3 pts in 24h) · first close Jan 1, 2027 · $68.5K total volume

About this event

This event tracks whether and when Ethereum (ETH) will reach a price of $4,000 across multiple target dates. Each market measures whether the ETH/USDT price hits or exceeds this threshold on Binance before a specified deadline.

How the outcomes relate

The event consists of a timeline of cumulative milestone deadlines. More than one market can resolve Yes; if Ethereum hits $4,000 before an earlier deadline, that market and all subsequent deadline markets will also resolve Yes. If it reaches the target later, earlier deadlines resolve No while later deadlines resolve Yes.

How it resolves

A market immediately resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for the ETH/USDT trading pair records a final High price equal to or greater than $4,000 between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. If the price does not reach $4,000 by 11:59 PM ET on that date, the market resolves to No. Resolution relies exclusively on Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle data; other exchanges, pairs, or spot markets are not considered.

Key dates

  • December 31, 2026 deadline: — Market resolves at 11:59 PM ET if not resolved earlier.
  • March 31, 2027 deadline: — Market resolves at 11:59 PM ET if not resolved earlier.
  • September 30, 2027 deadline:

Resolution source

Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle chart

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Outcomes for When will Ethereum hit $4k?
OutcomePrice24hGotcha riskTradabilityCloses
by September 30, 202720%▼ 3LowMed
by June 30, 202714%▼ 1LowMed
by December 31, 20262%±0LowMed
by March 31, 20278%▼ 2LowMed
Will Ethereum hit $4k by September 30, 2026?——LowLowResolved
by December 31, 2027——Not rated—

Highest-priced outcome

by September 30, 2027 · 7 daysRange 20–27%