Will Ethereum hit $4k by March 31, 2027?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market features clear and deterministic resolution criteria.
Read the full assessment
This market features clear and deterministic resolution criteria. It designates a single, specific source (Binance's ETH/USDT 1-minute candle chart) and precisely specifies the metric required to trigger resolution (a final High price of $4,000 or greater). The market includes an explicit early resolution condition if the threshold is met before the deadline, and defaults to No otherwise. There is negligible decider discretion or ambiguity, though participants should note that price action on other exchanges or trading pairs will not count.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Last captured price
8%
chance▼ −2 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) from the creation of this market until 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than $4,000. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Ethereum (ETH/USDT) reaches a high price of at least $4,000 on Binance before the end of March 31, 2027. Resolution relies solely on Binance 1-minute candle data and excludes all other exchanges or trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for the ETH/USDT pair records a final High price of $4,000 or greater between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on March 31, 2027. It resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches or exceeds $4,000 by that deadline. The deciding source is Binance price data for the ETH/USDT trading pair on the 1m chart setting. Prices from other exchanges, alternative trading pairs, or spot markets are excluded.
Resolution source
Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·