Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2026?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market features clear, objective criteria with very little room for interpretation.
Read the full assessment
This market features clear, objective criteria with very little room for interpretation. It resolves immediately to Yes if any one-minute candle on Binance for the ETH/USDT pair reaches a High of $4,000 or greater before 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, and to No otherwise. A single specific data source and trading pair are designated, explicitly excluding all other exchanges and pairs, leaving virtually no discretion to the resolver.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
2%
chance▼ −0.2 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) from the creation of this market until 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than $4,000. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Ethereum reaches a price of at least $4,000 on Binance by December 31, 2026. Resolution depends exclusively on the Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle high prices.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for ETH/USDT has a final High price of $4,000 or greater between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches this threshold by the deadline. Prices from other exchanges, other trading pairs, or other spot markets are disregarded. Resolution is determined solely using Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute chart data.
Resolution source
Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·