Will Ethereum hit $4k by September 30, 2027?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market features clear, objective criteria with very little room for interpretation.
Read the full assessment
This market features clear, objective criteria with very little room for interpretation. Resolution relies entirely on an explicit data point: whether the High of any one-minute candle on the Binance ETH/USDT chart reaches or exceeds $4,000 between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on September 30, 2027. A single specific URL and chart setting are provided, with an explicit rule resolving to Yes immediately upon the threshold being met, and to No otherwise. Alternative exchanges and pairs are explicitly excluded, eliminating ambiguity and decider discretion.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
20%
chance▼ −2.5 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) from the creation of this market until 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than $4,000. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Ethereum reaches a price of $4,000 or higher by September 30, 2027. Resolution depends strictly on the ETH/USDT trading pair on Binance rather than an aggregate index or other exchanges.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for the ETH/USDT pair records a final High price equal to or greater than $4,000 between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on September 30, 2027. The market resolves to No if this price threshold is not reached within that timeframe. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets are excluded. The deciding source is Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle chart data.
Resolution source
Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·