Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The market rules clearly define how market capitalization is calculated using the official closing price and total shares outstanding from the primary exchange on the company's first day of public trading.
Read the full assessment
The market rules clearly define how market capitalization is calculated using the official closing price and total shares outstanding from the primary exchange on the company's first day of public trading. A clear deadline of December 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET is established if no IPO occurs. Specific edge cases are comprehensively addressed, including handling of exact boundary values between brackets, trading session interruptions, and primary data source fallbacks.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Anthropic's market capitalization at the close of its first day of trading falls between 1.5T and 1.8T by December 31, 2027. If the final value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, it resolves to the higher range.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Anthropic conducts an IPO by December 31, 2027, and its market capitalization at market close on its first trading day is between 1.5T and 1.8T. Market cap is calculated as shares outstanding multiplied by the closing price; values landing exactly between brackets resolve to the higher bracket. The market resolves to No if Anthropic's market cap falls into a different bracket. The market resolves to 'No IPO by December 31, 2027' if no IPO takes place by that date. If the first trading day is interrupted, the official close of that session counts, or the next day with an official close is used. Resolution is decided by the primary exchange's official listing page, or another reliable source if unavailable.
Resolution source
Primary exchange's official listing page, or another reliable source if the figure is not displayed
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·