Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?
Gotcha risk
Medium3 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The question asks if the individual is seen in public, but the rules expand this to include any authentic photograph, video, or digital appearance such as a live broadcast.
Read the full assessment
The question asks if the individual is seen in public, but the rules expand this to include any authentic photograph, video, or digital appearance such as a live broadcast. Determining whether media is genuine relies on judging a consensus of credible reporting to rule out archival footage, deepfakes, AI generation, or staged reproductions. No single official source or registry is designated to verify authenticity, leaving resolution to the market decider's interpretation of media coverage.
- Resolver
- High
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Medium
- Exceptions
- Medium
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
10%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Market explained
This market measures whether Mojtaba Khamenei is authentically photographed, videotaped, or seen in a digital appearance by December 31, 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and December 31 (ET). Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, qualify. The images or video must be authentic and must be both taken and released within the market timeframe. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, and posthumous releases do not qualify. The market resolves to No otherwise. Resolution is determined by the image or video and a consensus of credible reporting verifying its authenticity.
Resolution source
The image or video of Mojtaba Khamenei and a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·