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CryptoCloses · in 48 days$45K volumePart of: What price will Solana hit in 2026? →

Will Solana dip to $70 by December 31, 2026?

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Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: The rules provide clear and precise mechanics for resolution.

Read the full assessment

The rules provide clear and precise mechanics for resolution. The outcome relies strictly on a single, specified trading pair (SOL/USDT) on Binance, using the final low of any one-minute candle between market inception and December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The price threshold of $70 is unambiguous, and the rules explicitly state that prices on other exchanges or trading pairs will not be considered.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

53%

chance

▲ +11 pts · 24h

Yes53¢
No47¢
↓ 70 · Yes · 1MO 15.5 H 59.0 L 12.5 C 53.0+37.5 (+241.9%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▲ +10 pts24h · detected 13 Nov 2026, 02:55 UTC

The market rose from 41% to 51%. Solana fell 1.33% on Binance in the hour of the move, making a dip to $70 more likely.

  • Largest hourly change: 02:00 UTC, 38% of the net 24-hour change.
  • SOL (Binance): −1.3% in the move hour, −2.5% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 48 days after the move hour.

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 13 Nov 2026, 03:06 UTC

Earlier

▲ +10 pts · 12 Nov 2026, 17:25 UTCThe probability rose from 36% to 46% as Solana fell 1.24% on Binance during the move hour (and 4.6% over 24 hours), making a dip to $70 more likely.Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.AI-generated · 12 Nov 2026, 17:36 UTC

Earlier

▼ −11 pts · 11 Nov 2026, 15:55 UTCThe odds dropped from 49% to 38%. Solana rose 0.77% in the move hour and 2.14% over 24 hours on Binance, making a dip to $70 less likely and acting as the likely driver.Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.AI-generated · 11 Nov 2026, 16:05 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Solana (SOL/USDT) from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT “High” and “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Market explained

This market measures whether the price of Solana (SOL/USDT) dips to $70.00 or lower on Binance before the end of 2026.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for SOL/USDT between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, records a Low price equal to or below $70. Price action before market creation does not count. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle touches or falls below $70 during the specified timeframe. Resolution is determined solely using 1-minute candle data from Binance's SOL/USDT trading pair; prices from other exchanges or trading pairs are excluded.

Resolution source

Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute chart

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·