Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The market has very clear and objective resolution criteria.
Read the full assessment
The market has very clear and objective resolution criteria. It specifies the exact exchange (Binance), the specific trading pair (SOL/USDT), the exact metric (the final Low of any 1-minute candle), and the precise timeframe ending at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Data from other exchanges or trading pairs is explicitly excluded, leaving minimal room for ambiguity or decider discretion.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
10%
chance▲ +3.7 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Solana (SOL/USDT) between the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT “Low” prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Solana (SOL/USDT) on Binance drops to $50 or lower by December 31, 2026. Resolution relies strictly on Binance 1-minute candle Low prices, excluding all other exchanges and pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for SOL/USDT between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, records a final Low price equal to or lower than $50. It resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches $50 or lower by that cutoff. Price action prior to market creation is disregarded. The deciding source is Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute candle data; prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets are excluded.
Resolution source
Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute candle data
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·