Will Lamine Yamal be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The market defines a clear, objective outcome tied directly to a specific official publication: Google's Year in Search Global People list for 2026.
Read the full assessment
The market defines a clear, objective outcome tied directly to a specific official publication: Google's Year in Search Global People list for 2026. The resolution path and source are clearly designated, leaving no room for decider interpretation. There is a precise backstop deadline of March 31, 2027, resolving to Other if Google fails to publish the list. The only minor nuance is that Google's Year in Search reflects trending search spikes rather than absolute raw search volume, but the rules explicitly define the exact list and category to be used.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Trending → People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
Market explained
This market measures whether Lamine Yamal will finish as the #1 searched person in Google's Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Lamine Yamal is ranked #1 on Google's official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026. The market resolves to No if another individual is ranked #1 on that list. The market resolves to Other if Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution can occur as soon as the 2026 list is published. The deciding source is Google via its Year in Search Global "People" list published on the Google Trends hub.
Resolution source
Google’s official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026 published on the Google Trends hub
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·