Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market clearly defines its resolution criteria around an official, single data source: Google's Year in Search Global 'People' list for 2026.
Read the full assessment
This market clearly defines its resolution criteria around an official, single data source: Google's Year in Search Global 'People' list for 2026. The URL navigation path is detailed, early resolution is triggered upon list publication, and a precise timeout date of March 31, 2027 is provided if the list is not published. Note that Google's Year in Search reflects trending spikes in searches rather than total absolute search volume, but the rules precisely tie the outcome to Google's published ranking.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
2%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Trending → People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
Market explained
This market measures whether Cristiano Ronaldo will rank #1 on Google's official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Cristiano Ronaldo is ranked #1 in Google's official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026. The market resolves to No if another individual is ranked #1 on that list. The market resolves to Other if Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is decided by the specified list as published by Google on its Google Trends Year in Search hub, regardless of the navigation procedure used to access it. The market may resolve as soon as the 2026 list is released.
Resolution source
Google's official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026 published on the Google Trends Year in Search hub
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·