Will Matt Damon be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The market resolves strictly against an official named publisher, Google, using its Year in Search 2026 Global People rankings.
Read the full assessment
The market resolves strictly against an official named publisher, Google, using its Year in Search 2026 Global People rankings. The navigation path and list criteria are clearly identified, leaving minimal decider discretion. A specific fallback date of March 31, 2027 handles the possibility that Google does not publish the list. While Google's Year in Search measures trending search traffic rather than absolute raw search volume, the rules make the exact list and measurement unambiguous.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Trending → People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
Market explained
This market measures whether Matt Damon will be the number one individual on Google's official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Matt Damon is ranked #1 on Google's official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026. The market resolves to No if any other individual holds the #1 ranking on that list. The market resolves to Other if Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution can occur as soon as the official 2026 list is released, and the outcome is determined solely by the list published by Google.
Resolution source
Google's official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·