Will Evodio Velázquez Aguirre win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The resolution rules clearly outline the conditions for resolving the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial race, explicitly excluding interim or caretaker governors from qualifying.
Read the full assessment
The resolution rules clearly outline the conditions for resolving the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial race, explicitly excluding interim or caretaker governors from qualifying. Resolution relies primarily on a consensus of credible reporting, but provides a concrete fallback to official results from Mexican electoral authorities if any dispute or ambiguity arises. A multi-month buffer between the scheduled June election and the end-of-year deadline gives ample time for official certification and appeals, with an explicit default outcome specified if results remain unresolved past the cutoff.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market explained
This market measures whether Evodio Velázquez Aguirre wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial election. Resolution includes a specific fallback to "Other" if the outcome is not definitively known by the end of 2027.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Evodio Velázquez Aguirre wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial election. Interim or caretaker governors do not qualify for a winning resolution. The market resolves No if another candidate wins the election. The market resolves to Other if the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is decided based on a consensus of credible reporting, or solely by official government sources from Guerrero and Mexico—including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico—if ambiguity exists.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, with fallbacks to official government sources including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·