Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Gotcha risk
Medium2 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The question asks a binary question about Broadcom, whereas the resolution text states the market will resolve to the second-largest company, potentially creating confusion about market structure.
Read the full assessment
The question asks a binary question about Broadcom, whereas the resolution text states the market will resolve to the second-largest company, potentially creating confusion about market structure. Additionally, the question does not specify the year, while the rules establish a target date of December 31, 2026. Resolution relies on a consensus of credible reporting rather than a specific financial data terminal or exchange feed, leaving room for discretion when comparing market capitalizations across different international markets and closing times.
- Resolver
- High
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Medium
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market explained
This market measures whether Broadcom will be the second-largest company in the world by market capitalization on December 31, 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Broadcom is the second-largest company in the world by market cap as of market close on December 31, 2026. The market resolves to No if any other company holds the second-largest market cap position at that time. The deciding source is a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution source
a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·