2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
6 live outcomes · highest priced: NVIDIA at 47% (+7 pts in 24h) · first close Dec 31, 2026 · $119.7K total volume
About this event
This event tracks which company will hold the position of the second-largest company in the world by market capitalization at the end of December 2026. Each market evaluates whether a specific company secures that rank.
How the outcomes relate
The event consists of individual markets for different companies. Because only one company can be the second-largest by market cap at market close on the specified date, only one market can resolve Yes while the others resolve No.
How it resolves
A market will resolve to Yes if the named company is determined to be the second-largest company in the world by market cap as of market close on December 31, 2026. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. The determination is made using a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Measurement date: — Market close on December 31, 2026
Resolution source
A consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVIDIA | 47% | ▲ 7 | Med | Low | |
| Microsoft | 23% | ▼ 12 | Med | Low | |
| SpaceX | 1% | ▲ 1 | High | Med | |
| Tesla | <1% | ±0 | Med | Low | |
| Saudi Aramco | <1% | ±0 | Med | Low | |
| Broadcom | <1% | ±0 | Med | Low | |
| Apple | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Alphabet | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Amazon | — | — | Not rated | — |